The Russian military has already lost its capacity for massive assaults on the previous scale, and control over the airspace is increasingly shifting to Ukraine.
War in Ukraine / © TSN.ua
If current trends on the front continue, a turning point could occur in 6-7 months, after which Russia’s tactical defeat in the war against Ukraine will become evident.
This was stated by the commander of the Third Assault Corps, Andriy Biletskyi, on the national telethon.
According to him, the key factors for these changes are the increasing shortage of personnel in the Russian army, the lack of significant advances by the occupying forces, and Ukraine’s strengthening advantage in the air thanks to drone systems.
Biletskyi noted that the Russian army has already lost its capacity for massive assaults on the previous scale, and control over the airspace is increasingly shifting to Ukraine.
“There is no talk of the ‘meat waves’ that were the norm 7-8 months ago, not even in the hottest areas of the front,” he stated.
The commander of the Third Corps also emphasized the changing balance in the sky.
“We are gradually taking control of operational depth up to 200 kilometers with drones… there is a clear understanding that the sky is now ours,” Biletskyi stressed.
In his assessment, these trends are already leading to the stagnation of the Russian offensive, and if they persist, the crisis phenomena in the Russian army will only intensify.
At the same time, Biletskyi suggested that Russia might try to compensate for setbacks on the front by intensifying attacks on Ukrainian cities.
As a reminder, military expert Oleg Zhdanov believes that Russia is theoretically capable of regularly launching massive missile strikes on Ukraine—approximately once a week for several months. However, the possibility of such attacks is influenced by Russia’s problems with equipment, strategic aviation crews, and the physical condition of pilots.
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